212 E Hopewell St · Farmersburg, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.1/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +1.4/10.0
$119,200
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Did you see the size of the garage?? This single-family home offers FOUR spacious bedrooms, TWO FULL with 1985 sq. ft. of living space and a 30x20 Detached Garage! Ample kitchen space for culinary creations s to come to life. Large family room adds charm and modern convenience. The laundry room adds to the home's functional appeal. Covered front porch, perfect for enjoying quiet moments, and a rear patio, ideal for entertaining in the fenced in back yard. A wonderful chance to settle into a welcoming home.
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Large family room
- Ample kitchen space
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $119k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $517 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $119k).
- Recommended offer: $105k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#434 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Northeast School Corporation (rural): math 29% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #228 of 301 in IN (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Northeast North Elementary School (math 37% / reading 32%, grade F, #597 of 994 statewide, top 63%, 228 students, 66% FRL); North Central Jr/Sr High School (math 12% / reading 32%, grade F, #343 of 369 statewide, top 93%, 374 students, 55% FRL) — zoned schools average 61% FRL vs 44% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 19 active listings in the ZIP; 4 units permitted in Sullivan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $824 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Sullivan County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 135 days — a 12% lower offer ($105k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $102k; 17% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 135 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.31% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.50%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.60%
- DSCR
- 1.83
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $226,290
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 301 W Illinois St | 0.34mi | 4/2.0 | 1,912 (-4%) | 1mo | $195,000 | $102 | 77 |
| 408 E Heap St | 0.16mi | 4/2.5 | 2,211 (+11%) | 0mo | $195,000 | $88 | 71 |
| 706 E Heap St | 0.35mi | 4/2.0 | 1,849 (-7%) | 2mo | $210,000 | $114 | 71 |
| 16975 S Truman St | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,048 (+3%) | 9mo | $465,000 | $227 | 55 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 10.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.41×
- Total profit
- $13,585
- Equity at exit
- $17,773
- IRR
- 19.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.62×
- Total profit
- $54,074
- Equity at exit
- $10,306
Cash invested: $33,376 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 47850
- Home prices YoY
- -3.8%
- Active inventory
- 19
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,560 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$625
- Tax from tax record
- −$40 /mo · $482/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$328
- Net cashflow
- $517
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $585 | -5% $551 | +0% $517 | +5% $484 | +10% $450 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $394 | -5% $456 | +0% $517 | +5% $579 | +10% $640 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $577 | -0.5pp $548 | base $517 | +0.5pp $486 | +1.0pp $455 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,800
- Closing costs
- $3,576
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-04-16status Pending 511-char remark
Show marketing remark (511 chars)
Did you see the size of the garage?? This single-family home offers FOUR spacious bedrooms, TWO FULL with 1985 sq. ft. of living space and a 30x20 Detached Garage! Ample kitchen space for culinary creations s to come to life. Large family room adds charm and modern convenience. The laundry room adds to the home's functional appeal. Covered front porch, perfect for enjoying quiet moments, and a rear patio, ideal for entertaining in the fenced in back yard. A wonderful chance to settle into a welcoming home.
-
2026-04-16status Pending
Show marketing remark (511 chars)
Did you see the size of the garage?? This single-family home offers FOUR spacious bedrooms, TWO FULL with 1985 sq. ft. of living space and a 30x20 Detached Garage! Ample kitchen space for culinary creations s to come to life. Large family room adds charm and modern convenience. The laundry room adds to the home's functional appeal. Covered front porch, perfect for enjoying quiet moments, and a rear patio, ideal for entertaining in the fenced in back yard. A wonderful chance to settle into a welcoming home.
-
2026-04-03$119,200 Active 511-char remark
Show marketing remark (511 chars)
Did you see the size of the garage?? This single-family home offers FOUR spacious bedrooms, TWO FULL with 1985 sq. ft. of living space and a 30x20 Detached Garage! Ample kitchen space for culinary creations s to come to life. Large family room adds charm and modern convenience. The laundry room adds to the home's functional appeal. Covered front porch, perfect for enjoying quiet moments, and a rear patio, ideal for entertaining in the fenced in back yard. A wonderful chance to settle into a welcoming home.
-
2026-03-19price $119,200
-
2026-02-05status Active
-
2026-02-04status Active
-
2026-01-27status Pending
-
2026-01-23status Pending
-
2025-11-20$149,000 Active
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2025-11-20$149,000 Active
-
2021-02-23soldstatus $101,650
-
2020-12-17$99,900
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2020-08-31soldstatus $33,000
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2020-04-21$42,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $482 · $40/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $748 · $62/mo
- Expected delta
- +$265/yr (+$22/mo · 55.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,717
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,677
- − Property taxes
- −$482
- − Insurance
- −$596
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,497
- − Management
- −$1,497
- − Depreciation
- −$3,468
- Taxable income
- $4,499
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,080
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,127/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Northeast School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1808160
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,565
- Composite
- 27.01/100
- National rank
- #7061
- State rank
- #228 of 301 in IN
Livability — Farmersburg
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #434
- US rank
- #15622
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Farmersburg, IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,027
Population outlook (Sullivan County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 20,313 people
- By 2030
- 19,908 · -2.0%
- By 2040
- 19,009 · -6.4%
- By 2050
- 17,972 · -11.5%
- By 2075
- 14,929 · -26.5%
- By 2100
- 11,391 · -43.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Asian 4%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Slovak 3% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Sullivan
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+52.7) · D 22.8% · R 75.5% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -52.0pp toward R · 2008: -0.7pp · 2024: -52.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+52.7 2020: R+50.5 2016: R+47.0 2012: R+20.6 2008: R+0.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -7.13%
- Current HPI
- 183.1507
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
+180.5% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-16 Pending — IRMLS
- 2026-04-16 Pending — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-03 Listed $119,200 IRMLS
- 2026-03-19 Price Changed $119,200 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-05 Relisted — IRMLS
- 2026-02-04 Relisted — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-27 Pending — IRMLS
- 2026-01-23 Pending — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-20 Listed $149,000 IRMLS
- 2025-11-20 Listed $149,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-02-23 Sold (MLS) $101,650 THAAR
- 2020-12-17 Listed $99,900 THAAR
- 2020-08-31 Sold (MLS) $33,000 THAAR
- 2020-04-21 Listed $42,500 THAAR
Property tax history
-4.9%/yrLatest (2024): $482 · -2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…