3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,431 sqft ·
Built 1989
· Manufactured
· Active
· 37 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,400/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,044
Tax + insurance
−$352
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$294
Net cashflow
$-289/mo
Annual
$-3,470/yr
Cap rate
4.55%
Cash-on-cash
-6.23%
DSCR
0.72
1% rule
0.70%
Cash to close
$55,720
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $199k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-289 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $148k (25.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $140k (29.6% below list).
It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($193k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $140k (29.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade F — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
West Shore SD (suburban): math 37% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #222 of 539 in PA (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Newberry El Sch (math 32% / reading 47%, grade F, #947 of 1,518 statewide, top 65%, 262 students, 54% FRL); Allen Ms (math 29% / reading 59%, grade D, #202 of 512 statewide, top 40%, 477 students, 42% FRL); Red Land Shs (math 56% / reading 75%, grade B, #65 of 437 statewide, top 15%, 1,101 students, 27% FRL) — zoned schools average 41% FRL vs 25% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 45 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,328 units permitted in York County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).
Current owner paid $22k; list at $199k implies a 826% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 30% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-8SAD1SA4P62PBD
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29