3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,300 sqft ·
Built 1974
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 9 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,556/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$519
Tax + insurance
−$165
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$327
Net cashflow
$545/mo
Annual
$6,544/yr
Cap rate
12.90%
Cash-on-cash
23.61%
DSCR
2.05
1% rule
1.57%
Cash to close
$27,720
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $99k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $545 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $99k).
Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-2.5%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 49/100 on livability (#1,163 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities F.
Northern Humboldt Union High (town): math 32% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #529 of 1,400 in CA (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Arcata Elementary (math 37% / reading 37%, grade F, #671 of 1,571 statewide, top 44%, 262 students, 76% FRL); Sunny Brae Middle (math 32% / reading 52%, grade D-, #144 of 498 statewide, top 29%, 220 students, 60% FRL); Arcata High (math 47% / reading 72%, grade C+, #205 of 1,170 statewide, top 19%, 1,052 students, 39% FRL) — zoned schools average 58% FRL vs 10% district-wide (48 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 29 active listings in the ZIP; 188 units permitted in Humboldt County in 2024 (17 in 5+ unit buildings).
Humboldt County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
At projected returns (-2.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Roof
— Potential roof leak in the front bedroom
Minor: Windows
— Some windows have peeling paint
CashFlowRE · CFR-8SGKQVAZKH4AAB
· Data 10 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29