3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,047 sqft ·
Built 2008
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 306 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,466/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,881
Tax + insurance
−$1,216
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,148
Net cashflow
$-778/mo
Annual
$-9,340/yr
Cap rate
5.03%
Cash-on-cash
-4.51%
DSCR
0.80
1% rule
0.74%
Cash to close
$207,200
Investor read
This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $740k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-778 ($-9k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-389/mo.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $603k (18.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $547k (26.1% below list).
It's been on market 306 days — a 12% lower offer ($651k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $547k (26.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $22k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#177 in FL, #2,724 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, cost of living F.
Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Toussaint L'Ouverture Elementary (math 27% / reading 37%, grade F, #1,797 of 2,144 statewide, top 86%, 337 students, 75% FRL); Jose De Diego Middle School (math 20% / reading 24%, grade F, #549 of 571 statewide, top 97%, 868 students, 68% FRL); Miami Edison Senior High School (math 19% / reading 15%, grade F, #597 of 667 statewide, top 90%, 623 students, 72% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 24% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-26 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Miami-Dade average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 296 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
6 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $250k (25%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.0% vs local median 1.9% in Miami — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $5,466/mo this rent would consume 159% of the median local household income ($41k/yr) (locally 2523% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 306 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
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· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29