4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,005 sqft ·
Built 2025
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 423 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,020/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,573
Tax + insurance
−$500
HOA
−$29
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$424
Net cashflow
$-505/mo
Annual
$-6,064/yr
Cap rate
4.27%
Cash-on-cash
-7.22%
DSCR
0.68
1% rule
0.67%
Cash to close
$83,972
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $300k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-505 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $227k (24.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $202k (32.6% below list).
It's been on market 423 days — a 12% lower offer ($264k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $202k (32.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $32k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $30k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#54 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Madison County (rural): math 27% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #19 of 129 in AL (top 15%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Hazel Green Elementary School (math 23% / reading 58%, grade F, #238 of 627 statewide, top 38%, 738 students, 50% FRL); Moores Mill Intermediate School (math 42% / reading 66%, grade B-, #20 of 257 statewide, top 8%, 840 students, 46% FRL); Hazel Green High School (math 23% / reading 31%, grade F, #90 of 305 statewide, top 35%, 1,348 students, 42% FRL) — zoned schools average 46% FRL vs 29% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 260 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,709 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (1,186 in 5+ unit buildings).
Madison County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $46k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$52k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($68k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 423 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 33% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-8T92HK6BM2T41R
· Data 3 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29