2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
951 sqft ·
Built 1973
· Condo
· Active
· 81 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,333/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,512
Tax + insurance
−$860
HOA
−$593
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$700
Net cashflow
$-1,331/mo
Annual
$-15,978/yr
Cap rate
2.96%
Cash-on-cash
-11.91%
DSCR
0.47
1% rule
0.70%
Cash to close
$134,120
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $479k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-16k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $244k (49.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $333k (30.4% below list).
It's been on market 81 days — a 6% lower offer ($450k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $244k (49.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $245 appreciation (0.1% local appreciation)).
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#122 in CA, #4,273 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, crime A, commute A-; Watch: cost of living F, health & safety F.
Palos Verdes Peninsula Unified (suburban): math 72% / reading 76% proficiency, ranked #51 of 1,400 in CA (top 4%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 3% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Cornerstone At Pedregal Elementary (433 students, 6% FRL); Miraleste Intermediate (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #277 of 498 statewide, top 73%, 747 students, 9% FRL); Palos Verdes Peninsula High (2,290 students, 9% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 24% at this address vs 74% district-wide (-50 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Palos Verdes Peninsula Unified average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 130 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 10d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
9 sale attempts since 24y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $80k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 3.0% vs local median 1.9% in Rolling Hills Estates — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 81 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 49% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
CashFlowRE · CFR-8VS63P7BCJZTN2
· Data 16 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29