3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,092 sqft ·
Built 1960
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 83 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,718/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$813
Tax + insurance
−$283
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$361
Net cashflow
$261/mo
Annual
$3,134/yr
Cap rate
8.31%
Cash-on-cash
7.22%
DSCR
1.32
1% rule
1.11%
Cash to close
$43,400
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $155k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $261 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $155k).
It's been on market 83 days — a 6% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $146k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 84/100 on livability (#51 in KY, #644 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, health & safety F.
Campbell County (suburban): math 43% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #15 of 165 in KY (top 9%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Crossroads Elementary School (math 39% / reading 37%, grade F, #242 of 676 statewide, top 37%, 613 students, 58% FRL); Campbell County Middle School (math 37% / reading 45%, grade F, #54 of 217 statewide, top 25%, 1,184 students, 45% FRL); Campbell County High School (math 35% / reading 43%, grade F, #51 of 254 statewide, top 21%, 1,551 students, 41% FRL).
Market conditions: 171 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 247 units permitted in Campbell County in 2024 (77 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 2.6% in Alexandria — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 83 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-8W2HV3286Z9K7K
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29