8 bd · 3.0 ba ·
1,561 sqft ·
Built 2022
· Townhouse
· Active
· 68 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$6,722/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$4,719
Tax + insurance
−$1,500
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,412
Net cashflow
$-909/mo
Annual
$-10,907/yr
Cap rate
5.08%
Cash-on-cash
-4.33%
DSCR
0.81
1% rule
0.75%
Cash to close
$251,972
Investor read
This is a 8-bed/3.0-bath townhouse listed at $900k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-909 ($-11k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $768k (14.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $672k (25.3% below list).
It's been on market 68 days — a 6% lower offer ($846k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $672k (25.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $33k of equity ($6k loan paydown + $27k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#166 in WA, #4,033 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Seattle Public Schools (urban): math 64% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #19 of 291 in WA (top 6%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Green Lake Elementary School (328 students, 23% FRL); Hamilton International Middle School (928 students, 12% FRL); Lincoln High School (1,653 students, 12% FRL).
Market conditions: 2 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 10,555 units permitted in King County in 2024 (7,119 in 5+ unit buildings).
King County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$54k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 5.1% vs local median 1.7% in Seattle — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 68 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-8W8P3Y6CXVT0ZR
· Data 1 month agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29