4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,600 sqft ·
Built 1970
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 54 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,247/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$640
Tax + insurance
−$73
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$262
Net cashflow
$272/mo
Annual
$3,262/yr
Cap rate
8.97%
Cash-on-cash
9.55%
DSCR
1.42
1% rule
1.02%
Cash to close
$34,160
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $122k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $272 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $122k).
It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $118k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($843 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#164 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing B; Watch: schools C-, employment D, amenities F.
Medford (rural): math 25% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #215 of 513 in OK (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP.
Grant County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Current owner paid $14k; list at $122k implies a 741% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-8W8R6MB15PMHJY
· Data 2 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29