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224 Ash
B- Composite 69.89
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$122,000

224 Ash · Medford, OK 73759
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,600 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 52 Days on market
Built 1970 Est $155k · 21% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Prime Investor Opportunity in Medford, OK! This 1,600 sq ft renovated duplex (4BR/2BA) is move-in ready with a new metal roof, flooring, and fixtures, ensuring low near-term CapEx and immediate cash flow. The real value-add lies in the 3 included acres directly behind the structure, already plumbed and development-ready. Whether you hold for rental income or expand with new builds in this peaceful community, this package offers significant equity potential and versatile exit strategies.

Key facts

  • New metal roof
  • Renovated duplex
  • 3 included acres

Tags

RENOVATED DUPLEXNEW METAL ROOF3 INCLUDED ACRESDEVELOPMENT READY

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential condo/townhouse; Single-story; 1,600 above-grade finished area
  • Construction: Brick veneer construction; Metal roof
  • Exterior features: Metal roof; Faces south; Located in the Fair Acres 2nd subdivision

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Concrete; Ceramic tile; Laminate; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Refrigerator included

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $122k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $272 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $122k).
  • Recommended offer: $118k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#164 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing B; Watch: schools C-, employment D, amenities F.
  • Medford (rural): math 25% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #215 of 513 in OK (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($843 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Grant County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $14k; list at $122k implies a 741% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $118,340 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.02%
Cap rate
8.97%
Cash-on-cash
9.55%
DSCR
1.42
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$155,200
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
717 Hillcrest Dr 0.34mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,586 (-1%) 2mo $160,000 $101 76
118 Fir Dr 0.19mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,625 (+2%) 20mo $145,000 $89 67
617 Hillcrest 0.37mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,736 (+8%) 7mo $168,000 $97 58

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.4%
Equity multiple
1.94×
Total profit
$31,949
Equity at exit
$54,856
10-year hold
IRR
17.9%
Equity multiple
3.62×
Total profit
$89,406
Equity at exit
$84,540

Cash invested: $34,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 73759

Active inventory
6
Price-to-rent
8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,247 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$640
Tax from tax record
$22 /mo · $268/yr
Insurance
$51
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$262
Net cashflow
$272

Break-even live

Break-even rent $902
Max offer price $122,000
Occupancy floor 73%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$30,500
Closing costs
$3,660
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $122,000 Active 52 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $122,000 Active 51 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $122,000 Active 50 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $122,000 Active 49 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $122,000 Active 47 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $122,000 Active 46 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $122,000 Active 43 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $122,000 Active 42 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $122,000 Active 41 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $122,000 Active 40 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $122,000 Active 37 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $122,000 Active 36 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $122,000 Active 35 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $122,000 Active 34 DOM
  15. 2026-04-27
    listed $122,000 Active
  16. 2000-10-18
    soldstatus $14,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$268 · $22/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,098 · $92/mo
Expected delta
+$830/yr (+$69/mo · 309.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,959
− Mortgage interest
−$6,834
− Property taxes
−$268
− Insurance
−$610
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,197
− Management
−$1,197
− Depreciation
−$3,549
Taxable income
$1,304
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$313
After-tax cash flow
$2,949/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Medford
NCES district ID
4019620
Math proficiency
25% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$46,345
Composite
30.63/100
National rank
#11449
State rank
#215 of 513 in OK

Livability — Medford

Score
64/100
State rank
#164
US rank
#13665

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D Housing B Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Medford, OK
Population (ZIP)
1,352

Population outlook (Grant County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
4,375 people
By 2030
4,328 · -1.1%
By 2040
4,348 · -0.6%
By 2050
4,536 · +3.7%
By 2075
5,336 · +22.0%
By 2100
5,501 · +25.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Two or more races 6% Black 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% Native American 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Scotch-Irish 1% Scottish 1%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
94% English-only · German/W. Germanic 5% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Grant

2024 margin
Solid R (+70.5) · D 13.9% · R 84.4% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-14.3pp toward R · 2008: -56.3pp · 2024: -70.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+70.5 2020: R+73.5 2016: R+70.0 2012: R+62.0 2008: R+56.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+741.4% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-27 Listed $122,000 NWOAR
  • 2000-10-18 Sold (Public Records) $14,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $268 · -3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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