3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,780 sqft ·
Built 1979
· Manufactured
· Active
· 248 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,998/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,652
Tax + insurance
−$525
HOA
−$1,525
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,050
Net cashflow
$247/mo
Annual
$2,962/yr
Cap rate
7.23%
Cash-on-cash
3.36%
DSCR
1.15
1% rule
1.59%
Cash to close
$88,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $315k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $247 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $315k).
It's been on market 248 days — a 12% lower offer ($277k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $277k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#240 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, cost of living F.
Anaheim Elementary (urban): math 25% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #386 of 517 in CA (top 75%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Marshall (John) Elementary (708 students, 71% FRL) — zoned schools at 71% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: HOA is 31% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.1%/yr); 72 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 6,974 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,839 in 5+ unit buildings).
Orange County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
10 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $159k; list at $315k implies a 98% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 2.2% in Anaheim — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $4,998/mo this rent would consume 72% of the median local household income ($84k/yr) (locally 3604% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 248 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-8W8YMKDWWHCSD5
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29