368 bd · 256.0 ba ·
11,260 sqft ·
Built 1927
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 67 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$19,748/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$10,488
Tax + insurance
−$3,333
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$4,147
Net cashflow
$1,779/mo
Annual
$21,352/yr
Cap rate
7.36%
Cash-on-cash
3.81%
DSCR
1.17
1% rule
0.99%
Cash to close
$560,000
Investor read
This is a 7×2bd/1ba + 9×1bd/1ba units multifamily listed at $2.00M. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($21k/yr) — positive. Per door: $111/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $1.97M (1.3% below list).
It's been on market 67 days — a 6% lower offer ($1.88M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $1.88M (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $35k of equity ($14k loan paydown + $22k appreciation (1.1% local appreciation)).
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#97 in MA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, health & safety A+, amenities A; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
Springfield (urban): math 13% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #296 of 302 in MA (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 81% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Milton Bradley School (math 7% / reading 22%, grade F, #873 of 938 statewide, top 94%, 515 students, 0% FRL); Stem Middle Academy (math 14% / reading 23%, grade F, #263 of 305 statewide, top 86%, 297 students, 0% FRL); Springfield Central High (math 27% / reading 41%, grade F, #250 of 343 statewide, top 73%, 2,095 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 81% district-wide (81 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1927 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 21 active listings in the ZIP; 453 units permitted in Hampden County in 2024 (116 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hampden County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
At projected returns (1.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $560k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$128k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 5.0% in Springfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 67 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1927 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
CashFlowRE · CFR-91RKZ48ACJM0DB
· Data 10 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29