3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,179 sqft ·
Built 1963
· Townhouse
· Pending
· 40 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,632/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,390
Tax + insurance
−$536
HOA
−$240
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$553
Net cashflow
$-86/mo
Annual
$-1,033/yr
Cap rate
5.90%
Cash-on-cash
-1.39%
DSCR
0.94
1% rule
0.99%
Cash to close
$74,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath townhouse listed at $265k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-86 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $250k (5.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $263k (0.7% below list).
It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($257k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $250k (5.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 84/100 on livability (#32 in IL, #638 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: cost of living D+, health & safety D+.
Township Hsd 214 (suburban): math 42% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #103 of 620 in IL (top 17%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: John Hersey High School (math 56% / reading 63%, grade C+, #20 of 693 statewide, top 3%, 2,026 students, 0% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 60% at this address vs 44% district-wide (+16 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Township Hsd 214 average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 93 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
10 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $215k; 23% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 3.2% in Mount Prospect — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($102k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-92HZA381M5DHSP
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29