4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,274 sqft ·
Built 1991
· Other
· Pending
· 70 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,148/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,468
Tax + insurance
−$283
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$451
Net cashflow
$-54/mo
Annual
$-646/yr
Cap rate
6.06%
Cash-on-cash
-0.82%
DSCR
0.96
1% rule
0.77%
Cash to close
$78,372
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $280k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-54 ($-646/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $270k (3.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $215k (23.3% below list).
It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($263k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $215k (23.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#68 in MO, #4,558 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Nixa Public Schools (suburban): math 66% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #6 of 324 in MO (top 2%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: John Thomas School of Discover (math 70% / reading 68%, grade A-, #40 of 1,115 statewide, top 4%, 487 students, 19% FRL); Nixa Junior High (math 70% / reading 61%, grade A-, #3 of 391 statewide, top 1%, 1,067 students, 29% FRL); Nixa High (math 70% / reading 77%, grade B+, #6 of 521 statewide, top 1%, 1,957 students, 24% FRL) — zoned schools at 24% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.7%/yr); 400 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 537 units permitted in Christian County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Christian County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
5 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $59k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 3.6% in Nixa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-92VS1K062GDD9D
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29