None bd · None ba ·
8,038 sqft ·
Built 1999
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 217 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,075/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,596
Tax + insurance
−$1,145
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,066
Net cashflow
$269/mo
Annual
$3,224/yr
Cap rate
6.94%
Cash-on-cash
2.33%
DSCR
1.10
1% rule
1.03%
Cash to close
$138,600
Investor read
This is a 7 × 2-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $495k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $269 ($3k/yr) — positive. Per door: $38/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $495k).
It's been on market 217 days — a 12% lower offer ($436k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $436k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $15k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 57/100 on livability (#1,267 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
La Joya ISD (suburban): math 18% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #759 of 826 in TX (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Guillermo Flores El (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #3,836 of 4,322 statewide, top 91%, 434 students, 93% FRL); Cesar Chavez Middle (math 25% / reading 35%, grade F, #1,056 of 1,662 statewide, top 65%, 666 students, 90% FRL); La Joya H S (math 16% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,333 of 1,632 statewide, top 82%, 2,775 students, 92% FRL) — zoned schools average 92% FRL vs 54% district-wide (38 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 1115 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 119d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 72% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 7,378 units permitted in Hidalgo County in 2024 (641 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hidalgo County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 94% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 3.9% in Palmview — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent per unit is only 16% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 217 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-93N5EV1DPB9BWB
· Data 3 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29