None bd · None ba ·
8,038 sqft ·
Built 1999
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 170 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,950/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,596
Tax + insurance
−$1,145
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,250
Net cashflow
$960/mo
Annual
$11,519/yr
Cap rate
8.62%
Cash-on-cash
8.31%
DSCR
1.37
1% rule
1.20%
Cash to close
$138,600
Investor read
This is a 7 × 2-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $495k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $960 ($12k/yr) — positive. Per door: $137/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $495k).
It's been on market 170 days — a 12% lower offer ($436k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $436k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $15k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 57/100 on livability (#1,267 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
La Joya ISD (suburban): math 18% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #759 of 826 in TX (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Guillermo Flores El (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #3,836 of 4,322 statewide, top 91%, 434 students, 93% FRL); Cesar Chavez Middle (math 25% / reading 35%, grade F, #1,056 of 1,662 statewide, top 65%, 666 students, 90% FRL); La Joya H S (math 16% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,333 of 1,632 statewide, top 82%, 2,775 students, 92% FRL) — zoned schools average 92% FRL vs 54% district-wide (38 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 981 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 93d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 86% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 7,378 units permitted in Hidalgo County in 2024 (641 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hidalgo County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 94% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 4.1% in Palmview — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 170 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-93N5EV1DPB9BWB
· Data 12 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29