8100 Lebanon Rd

Danville, KY 40422

$1D+

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,001 sqft · Built 2001 · Other · Pending · 38 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,392/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$0
• Tax + insurance: −$0
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$292
• Net cashflow: $1,100/mo
• Annual: $13,195/yr
• Cap rate: 1319547.64%
• Cash-on-cash: 4712647.67%
• DSCR: 209687.30
• 1% rule: 139193.00%
• Cash to close: $0

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $1.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $1).
• It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($0) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $0 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $0 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 77/100 on livability (#85 in KY, #3,148 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
• Boyle County (town): math 49% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #7 of 165 in KY (top 4%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Zoned schools: Woodlawn Elementary School (math 50% / reading 61%, grade C, #60 of 676 statewide, top 9%, 660 students, 44% FRL); Boyle County Middle School (math 52% / reading 58%, grade B-, #9 of 217 statewide, top 5%, 679 students, 50% FRL); Boyle County High School (math 42% / reading 57%, grade D, #13 of 254 statewide, top 5%, 884 students, 45% FRL).
• Market conditions: 166 active listings in the ZIP; 85 units permitted in Boyle County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Boyle County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $0 cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Cap rate 1319547.6% vs local median 3.0% in Danville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 5% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.