🔨 Auction
8100 Lebanon Rd · Danville, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$1
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Absolute Auction Saturday May 9, 2026, at 10am by Swisher Bros Auction. Discover the perfect blend of privacy, acreage, and convenience with this 3-bedroom, 2 full bath home situated on just under 10 beautiful acres. Whether you're looking for a country retreat, hobby farm, or investment opportunity, this property offers incredible potential in a highly desirable location. Conveniently positioned within 6 miles of Highway 127, offering quick access to surrounding communities. Interior features include a comfortable living room plus an additional family room with dedicated office space, providing excellent flexibility for work or recreation. The open concept kitchen and dining area creates a
Key facts
- 9.46 acre lot
- Built 2001
- Listed 38 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot size about 9.457 acres
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Lagoon sewer system; Electricity connected; Water connected
- Home design: House; One story
- Construction: Brick veneer exterior; Metal roof; Block foundation; Built area approximately 2,001
- Exterior features: Shed(s); Workshop; Partial wire fencing; Public water
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen; No built-in appliances listed
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the first floor
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Heat pump; Electric cooling
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Primary bedroom on the first floor; Ceiling fan(s); Insulated windows with screens
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Laundry on the main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $1.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $1).
- Cap rate 1319547.6% vs local median 3.0% in Danville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#85 in KY, #3,148 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Boyle County (town): math 49% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #7 of 165 in KY (top 4%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Woodlawn Elementary School (math 50% / reading 61%, grade C, #60 of 676 statewide, top 9%, 660 students, 44% FRL); Boyle County Middle School (math 52% / reading 58%, grade B-, #9 of 217 statewide, top 5%, 679 students, 50% FRL); Boyle County High School (math 42% / reading 57%, grade D, #13 of 254 statewide, top 5%, 884 students, 45% FRL).
- Market conditions: 165 active listings in the ZIP; 85 units permitted in Boyle County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $0 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $0 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Boyle County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $0 cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($0) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 5% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 139193.00% ✓
- Cap rate
- 1319547.64%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4712647.67%
- DSCR
- 209687.30
- GRM
- 0.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 250201.29×
- Total profit
- $70,056
- Equity at exit
- $0
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 540252.74×
- Total profit
- $151,270
- Equity at exit
- $0
Cash invested: $0 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 40422
- Home prices YoY
- -12.8%
- Active inventory
- 165
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,392 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$0
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$0 /mo · $0/yr
- Insurance
- −$0
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$292
- Net cashflow
- $1,100
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $0
- Closing costs
- $0
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-10status Pending
-
2026-04-01$1 Active
-
2000-11-11soldstatus $60,000
-
1998-03-01soldstatus $44,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,703
- − Mortgage interest
- −$0
- − Property taxes
- −$0
- − Insurance
- −$0
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,336
- − Management
- −$1,336
- − Depreciation
- −$0
- Taxable income
- $14,031
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,367
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,828/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Boyle County
- NCES district ID
- 2100630
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▼ -18.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,352
- Composite
- 45.09/100
- National rank
- #2692
- State rank
- #7 of 165 in KY
Livability — Danville
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #85
- US rank
- #3148
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Boyle County · 25,950 people
- City population
- 25,950
- Metro
- Danville, KY
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,950
- Household income
- $59,615
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1047.0
Population outlook (Boyle County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 31,908 people
- By 2030
- 32,875 · +3.0%
- By 2040
- 34,549 · +8.3%
- By 2050
- 36,095 · +13.1%
- By 2075
- 39,800 · +24.7%
- By 2100
- 40,157 · +25.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Black 9% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Boyle
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+29.0) · D 34.7% · R 63.7% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.8pp toward R · 2008: -23.2pp · 2024: -29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+29.0 2020: R+24.7 2016: R+29.1 2012: R+26.1 2008: R+23.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -38.55%
- Current HPI
- 262.516
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Danville, KY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
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Price history
+34.8% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-10 Pending — ImagineMLS
- 2026-04-01 Listed $1 ImagineMLS
- 2000-11-11 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
- 1998-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $44,500 Public Records
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…