5 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,416 sqft ·
Built 1922
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 24 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,091/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,285
Tax + insurance
−$490
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$649
Net cashflow
$667/mo
Annual
$8,007/yr
Cap rate
9.56%
Cash-on-cash
11.67%
DSCR
1.52
1% rule
1.26%
Cash to close
$68,600
Investor read
This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $245k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $667 ($8k/yr) — positive. Per door: $334/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $245k).
It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($241k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $241k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#185 in OH, #2,867 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Anthony Wayne Local (suburban): math 77% / reading 81% proficiency, ranked #49 of 656 in OH (top 8%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Waterville Primary School (math 85% / reading 83%, grade A+, #90 of 1,584 statewide, top 6%, 517 students, 10% FRL); Anthony Wayne Junior High School (math 74% / reading 78%, grade A, #74 of 654 statewide, top 12%, 707 students, 13% FRL); Anthony Wayne High School (math 56% / reading 79%, grade B, #136 of 781 statewide, top 17%, 1,324 students, 12% FRL) — zoned schools at 11% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1922 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 62 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 415 units permitted in Lucas County in 2024 (122 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lucas County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
5 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $195k; 26% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $69k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 2.6% in Waterville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($108k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1922 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-96KGK4AJ6J5Z6E
· Data 17 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29