CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
517 Mechanic St Duplex
B- Composite 66.86
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.8/30.0
  • DSCR +9.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +6.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$245,000

517 Mechanic St · Waterville, OH 43566
5 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,416 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 24 Days on market
Built 1922

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Fantastic opportunity to own a well-maintained duplex in the heart of Waterville, just walking distance to downtown, the river, local parks, and Waterville Elementary School. Located in Anthony Wayne Local Schools district, this property offers exceptional location, flexibility, and investment potential. The lower unit has been recently remodeled and features a new AC unit, new furnace, new carpet, and updated kitchen and bathroom. The property showcases beautiful natural woodwork along with classic accordion and pocket doors that add character and charm throughout. Situated on a spacious double lot, the property offers abundant outdoor space along with outstanding storage options including

Key facts

  • New ac unit
  • New furnace
  • Recently remodeled

Tags

WELL MAINTAINED DUPLEXWALKING DISTANCE TO DOWNTOWNRECENTLY REMODELEDNEW AC UNITNEW FURNACENEW CARPET

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $245k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $667 ($8k/yr) — positive. Per door: $334/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $245k).
  • Recommended offer: $241k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 2.5% in Waterville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#185 in OH, #2,867 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Anthony Wayne Local (suburban): math 77% / reading 81% proficiency, ranked #49 of 656 in OH (top 8%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Waterville Primary School (math 85% / reading 83%, grade A+, #90 of 1,584 statewide, top 6%, 517 students, 10% FRL); Anthony Wayne Junior High School (math 74% / reading 78%, grade A, #74 of 654 statewide, top 12%, 707 students, 13% FRL); Anthony Wayne High School (math 56% / reading 79%, grade B, #136 of 781 statewide, top 17%, 1,324 students, 12% FRL) — zoned schools at 11% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 62 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 415 units permitted in Lucas County in 2024 (122 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($108k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lucas County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $69k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($241k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $195k; 26% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1922 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $241,325 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1922 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.26%
Cap rate
9.56%
Cash-on-cash
11.67%
DSCR
1.52
GRM
6.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.1%
Equity multiple
1.04×
Total profit
$2,893
Equity at exit
$36,530
10-year hold
IRR
10.8%
Equity multiple
1.84×
Total profit
$57,634
Equity at exit
$21,183

Cash invested: $68,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 43566

Home prices YoY
-26.9%
Active inventory
62
Price-to-rent
13.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,091 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,285
Tax from tax record
$388 /mo · $4,653/yr
Insurance
$102
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$649
Net cashflow
$667

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,246
Max offer price $245,000
Occupancy floor 73%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $806 -5% $737 +0% $667 +5% $598 +10% $529
Rent -10% $423 -5% $545 +0% $667 +5% $789 +10% $911
Rate -1.0pp $791 -0.5pp $730 base $667 +0.5pp $604 +1.0pp $539

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $3,091

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$61,250
Closing costs
$7,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 29 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $245,000 Active 24 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $245,000 Active 21 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $245,000 Active 20 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $245,000 Active 19 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $245,000 Active 18 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $245,000 Active 16 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $245,000 Active 13 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $245,000 Active 12 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $245,000 Active 11 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $245,000 Active 10 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $245,000 Active 7 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $245,000 Active 6 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $245,000 Active 5 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $245,000 Active 4 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $245,000 Active 3 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $245,000 Active 2 DOM
  17. 2026-05-19
    listed $245,000 Active
  18. 2024-12-01
    historical $1,550
  19. 2024-10-22
    listed $1,550
  20. 2023-09-29
    soldstatus $194,800
  21. 2022-12-01
    historical
  22. 2022-06-23
    price $224,900
  23. 2022-06-10
    listed $234,900 Active
  24. 2022-06-02
    historical
  25. 2016-03-31
    historical
  26. 2015-09-30
    listed $169,900
  27. 2015-09-18
    historical
  28. 2014-09-18
    listed $169,900
  29. 1999-03-24
    soldstatus $90,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,653 · $388/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,653 · $388/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$37,092
− Mortgage interest
−$13,724
− Property taxes
−$4,653
− Insurance
−$1,225
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,967
− Management
−$2,967
− Depreciation
−$7,127
Taxable income
$4,428
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,063
After-tax cash flow
$6,944/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Anthony Wayne Local
NCES district ID
3904820
Math proficiency
77% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
81% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$77,345
Composite
69.43/100
National rank
#311
State rank
#49 of 656 in OH

Livability — Waterville

Score
77/100
State rank
#185
US rank
#2867

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Waterville, OH
County
Lucas · 437,818 people
Metro
Toledo, OH
Population (ZIP)
8,350
Household income
$108,497
Rent vs Own
18.8% rent · 81.2% own
Severe rent burden
3.6

Population outlook (Lucas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
420,751 people
By 2030
410,187 · -2.5%
By 2040
384,019 · -8.7%
By 2050
355,125 · -15.6%
By 2075
291,683 · -30.7%
By 2100
233,670 · -44.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 10% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 4%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lucas

2024 margin
D (+12.6) · D 55.8% · R 43.2%
2008→2024 swing
-18.9pp toward R · 2008: 31.4pp · 2024: 12.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+12.6 2020: D+16.8 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+30.4 2008: D+31.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -78.89%
Current HPI
214.264
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+172.2% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Listed $245,000 Fizber.com
  • 2024-12-01 Rental Removed $1,550 REDFIN
  • 2024-10-22 Listed for Rent $1,550 REDFIN
  • 2023-09-29 Sold (Public Records) $194,800 Public Records
  • 2022-12-01 Listing Removed NORIS
  • 2022-06-23 Price Changed $224,900 NORIS
  • 2022-06-10 Listed $234,900 NORIS
  • 2022-06-02 Coming Soon NORIS
  • 2016-03-31 Listing Removed NORIS
  • 2015-09-30 Listed $169,900 NORIS
  • 2015-09-18 Listing Removed NORIS
  • 2014-09-18 Listed $169,900 NORIS
  • 1999-03-24 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,653 · +2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…