2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
986 sqft ·
Built 2006
· Other
· Active
· 11 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,285/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$734
Tax + insurance
−$192
HOA
−$155
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$270
Net cashflow
$-65/mo
Annual
$-785/yr
Cap rate
5.73%
Cash-on-cash
-2.00%
DSCR
0.91
1% rule
0.92%
Cash to close
$39,172
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $140k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-65 ($-785/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $128k (8.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $129k (8.1% below list).
Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $128k (8.3% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#106 in IA, #2,080 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Johnston Community School District (suburban): math 78% / reading 78% proficiency, ranked #24 of 289 in IA (top 8%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 14% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Horizon Elementary (math 71% / reading 67%, grade A-, #263 of 616 statewide, top 43%, 647 students, 36% FRL); Summit Middle School (math 80% / reading 77%, grade A+, #44 of 246 statewide, top 19%, 1,112 students, 27% FRL); Johnston Senior High School (math 76% / reading 79%, grade A-, #56 of 336 statewide, top 17%, 1,790 students, 23% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents flat; 329 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 2,953 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (540 in 5+ unit buildings).
Polk County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $87k; list at $140k implies a 61% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 2.3% in Grimes — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent is only 13% of the median local income ($121k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-96Q4P6668BBCHP
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29