2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,790 sqft ·
Built 1930
· Other
· Pending
· 44 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,059/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$734
Tax + insurance
−$353
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$222
Net cashflow
$-250/mo
Annual
$-2,998/yr
Cap rate
4.15%
Cash-on-cash
-7.65%
DSCR
0.66
1% rule
0.76%
Cash to close
$39,172
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $140k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-250 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $96k (31.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $106k (24.3% below list).
It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $96k (31.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $8k of equity ($967 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (4.7% local appreciation)).
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#573 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, health & safety A; Watch: amenities D+, commute F, employment F.
Clymer Central School District (rural): math 62% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #291 of 755 in NY (top 38%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price; built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 127 units permitted in Chautauqua County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Chautauqua County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 32% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-97VSR09Y43P9QC
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29