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9838-9848 Route 474
D- Composite 38.13
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +7.3/10.0
  • Cash flow +6.3/30.0
  • Schools +5.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +0.6/10.0

$139,900

9838-9848 Route 474 · Corry, PA 14724
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,790 sqft · Other public records · 44 Days on market
Built 1930 1.41 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Discover a unique opportunity with this versatile 1.41 acre property featuring three distinct structures, each offering incredible potential. The main house, in need of some TLC, roof is approximately 2 years old features 3 bedrooms and 1 full bath, provides a solid foundation for your vision and could become a charming country retreat. A mobile home on the property is currently occupied has 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths, providing added financial flexibility. Additionally, the commercial building offers endless possibilities for a business venture, studio, or creative space, perfectly suited for the entrepreneurial spirit. The commercial space also includes a super cozy living space with 1 b

Key facts

  • Spacious barn
  • Commercial building
  • 1.41 acre property

Tags

1.41 ACRE PROPERTYTHREE DISTINCT STRUCTURESCOMMERCIAL BUILDINGCOZY LIVING SPACEPROXIMITY TO SNOWMOBILE TRAILSSPACIOUS BARN

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-250 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $96k (31.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $106k (24.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $96k (31.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#573 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, health & safety A; Watch: amenities D+, commute F, employment F.
  • Clymer Central School District (rural): math 62% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #291 of 755 in NY (top 38%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 127 units permitted in Chautauqua County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $8k of equity ($967 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (4.7% local appreciation)).
  • Chautauqua County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price; built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $95,763 (31.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 32% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.76%
Cap rate
4.15%
Cash-on-cash
-7.65%
DSCR
0.66
GRM
11.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.68% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.6%
Equity multiple
1.35×
Total profit
$13,860
Equity at exit
$76,554
10-year hold
IRR
8.1%
Equity multiple
2.46×
Total profit
$57,110
Equity at exit
$129,922

Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 14724

Home prices YoY
1.4%
Price-to-rent
11.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,059 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$294 /mo · $3,534/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$222
Net cashflow
$-250

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,375
Max offer price $95,763
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-171 -5% $-210 +0% $-250 +5% $-289 +10% $-329
Rent -10% $-334 -5% $-292 +0% $-250 +5% $-208 +10% $-166
Rate -1.0pp $-179 -0.5pp $-214 base $-250 +0.5pp $-286 +1.0pp $-323

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,975
Closing costs
$4,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-04-16
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-02
    listed $139,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,534 · $294/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,534 · $294/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,708
− Mortgage interest
−$7,837
− Property taxes
−$3,534
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,017
− Management
−$1,017
− Depreciation
−$4,070
Taxable loss
−$5,465
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,312
After-tax cash flow
$-1,686/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Clymer Central School District
NCES district ID
3607890
Math proficiency
62% ▲ 6.00%
Reading proficiency
57% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$46,360
Composite
51.95/100
National rank
#3542
State rank
#291 of 755 in NY

Livability — Corry

Score
73/100
State rank
#573
US rank
#5430

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety A User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
3,099

Population outlook (Chautauqua County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
123,454 people
By 2030
118,509 · -4.0%
By 2040
107,311 · -13.1%
By 2050
96,703 · -21.7%
By 2075
76,757 · -37.8%
By 2100
60,984 · -50.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (96%)
Race & ethnicity
White 96% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Polish 10% Iranian 9% Romanian 5%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
64% English-only · German/W. Germanic 34% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Chautauqua

2024 margin
Strong R (+22.0) · D 39.0% · R 61.0%
2008→2024 swing
-22.9pp toward R · 2008: 0.9pp · 2024: -22.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+22.0 2020: R+19.8 2016: R+24.6 2012: R+8.2 2008: D+0.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.68%
Current HPI
328.2574
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-16 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2026-03-02 Listed $139,900 UNYREIS

Property tax history

-3.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,534 · +0.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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