4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,520 sqft ·
Built 1918
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 36 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,435/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$970
Tax + insurance
−$284
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$301
Net cashflow
$-120/mo
Annual
$-1,441/yr
Cap rate
5.51%
Cash-on-cash
-2.78%
DSCR
0.88
1% rule
0.78%
Cash to close
$51,800
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $185k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-120 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $164k (11.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $144k (22.4% below list).
It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($179k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $144k (22.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $20k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#150 in MN, #3,331 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
Truman Public School District (rural): math 30% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #343 of 467 in MN (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1918 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 16 active listings in the ZIP; 19 units permitted in Martin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Martin County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1918 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-9806V56Z1C6T2S
· Data 5 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29