210 E Ciro St · Truman, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +9.8/30.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +2.8/10.0
- DSCR +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$185,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This beautifully cared-for stucco 2.25-story home blends classic craftsmanship with thoughtful modern upgrades. Rich wood trim throughout adds warmth and character, while a smart layout of multi-functional rooms offer flexibility for living, working, and gathering. The home features 4 bedrooms and 3 bathrooms; the main including updates of a whirlpool tub and heated floor for year-round comfort. A freshly insulated attic boost efficiency, and the trim has been fully wrapped, eliminating the need for repainting and reducing long-term maintenance. A durable metal roof provides peace of mind, and a radon elimination system adds an extra layer of safety. Outside, the exceptional yard offers roo
Key facts
- Smart layout
- Heated floor
- Rich wood trim
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Concrete parking
- Utilities: City water connected; City sewer connected; Natural gas
- Home design: Residential property; More than 2 stories; Poured concrete foundation
- Construction: Poured concrete foundation (840 foundation area)
- Exterior features: Stucco exterior
Interior
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: One three-quarter bath; One half bath; One quarter bath
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Finished basement; One fireplace
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $185k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-120 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $164k (11.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $144k (22.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $144k (22.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#150 in MN, #3,331 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Truman Public School District (rural): math 30% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #343 of 467 in MN (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 16 active listings in the ZIP; 19 units permitted in Martin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $20k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Martin County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($179k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1918 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1918 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.78% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.51%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.78%
- DSCR
- 0.88
- GRM
- 10.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $238,792
- List price
- $185,000
- Delta
- -22.53%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 22.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.80×
- Total profit
- $93,115
- Equity at exit
- $166,663
- IRR
- 20.0%
- Equity multiple
- 6.41×
- Total profit
- $280,236
- Equity at exit
- $359,414
Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 56088
- Home prices YoY
- 6.4%
- Active inventory
- 16
- Price-to-rent
- 10.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,435 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$970
- Tax from tax record
- −$207 /mo · $2,482/yr
- Insurance
- −$77
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$301
- Net cashflow
- $-120
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-15 | -5% $-68 | +0% $-120 | +5% $-172 | +10% $-225 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-233 | -5% $-177 | +0% $-120 | +5% $-63 | +10% $-7 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-27 | -0.5pp $-73 | base $-120 | +0.5pp $-168 | +1.0pp $-217 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $46,250
- Closing costs
- $5,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $185,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $185,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $185,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $185,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $185,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $185,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $185,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $185,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $185,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $185,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $185,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $185,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $185,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $185,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $185,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $185,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-05-15$185,000 Active 880-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,482 · $207/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,482 · $207/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,225
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,363
- − Property taxes
- −$2,482
- − Insurance
- −$925
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,378
- − Management
- −$1,378
- − Depreciation
- −$5,382
- Taxable loss
- −$4,682
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,124
- After-tax cash flow
- $-317/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Truman Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2740680
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▲ 10.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,077
- Composite
- 38.94/100
- National rank
- #8312
- State rank
- #343 of 467 in MN
Livability — Truman
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #150
- US rank
- #3331
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Truman, MN
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,063
Population outlook (Martin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 18,583 people
- By 2030
- 17,814 · -4.1%
- By 2040
- 16,312 · -12.2%
- By 2050
- 15,021 · -19.2%
- By 2075
- 13,025 · -29.9%
- By 2100
- 11,311 · -39.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 9% Romanian 5% Scottish 3%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Other Indo-European 3% Spanish 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Martin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.7) · D 29.5% · R 69.1% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -24.4pp toward R · 2008: -15.2pp · 2024: -39.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.7 2020: R+37.9 2016: R+41.4 2012: R+23.8 2008: R+15.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 16.26%
- Current HPI
- 271.5076
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $150B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Listed $185,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+11.4%/yrLatest (2025): $2,482 · +15.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…