3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,659 sqft ·
Built 1960
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 16 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,071/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,337
Tax + insurance
−$367
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$435
Net cashflow
$-68/mo
Annual
$-820/yr
Cap rate
5.97%
Cash-on-cash
-1.15%
DSCR
0.95
1% rule
0.81%
Cash to close
$71,400
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $255k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-68 ($-820/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $243k (4.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $207k (18.8% below list).
It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($251k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $207k (18.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Central Dauphin SD (suburban): math 30% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #305 of 539 in PA (top 57%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: West Hanover El Sch (math 57% / reading 76%, grade B+, #235 of 1,518 statewide, top 16%, 574 students, 32% FRL); Central Dauphin Ms (math 27% / reading 66%, grade D+, #172 of 512 statewide, top 35%, 848 students, 33% FRL); Central Dauphin Shs (math 71% / reading 24%, grade D, #164 of 437 statewide, top 38%, 1,975 students, 33% FRL) — zoned schools at 33% FRL track the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 54% at this address vs 41% district-wide (+13 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Central Dauphin SD average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 314 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 540 units permitted in Dauphin County in 2024 (194 in 5+ unit buildings).
4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-9B397P6FZPK7XJ
· Data 11 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29