5 bd · 3.0 ba ·
3,890 sqft ·
Built 2006
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 174 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,802/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,867
Tax + insurance
−$686
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$589
Net cashflow
$-339/mo
Annual
$-4,065/yr
Cap rate
5.15%
Cash-on-cash
-4.08%
DSCR
0.82
1% rule
0.79%
Cash to close
$99,680
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $356k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-339 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $296k (16.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $280k (21.3% below list).
It's been on market 174 days — a 12% lower offer ($313k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $280k (21.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Fulton County (suburban): math 49% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #12 of 174 in GA (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Amana Academy School (math 47% / reading 52%, grade D, #264 of 1,228 statewide, top 23%, 731 students, 30% FRL, charter); Sandtown Middle School (math 24% / reading 35%, grade F, #249 of 470 statewide, top 55%, 1,057 students, 57% FRL); Westlake High School (math 27% / reading 5%, grade F, #287 of 424 statewide, top 68%, 2,461 students, 43% FRL) — zoned schools at 43% FRL track the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 32% at this address vs 51% district-wide (-19 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Fulton County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 485 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 27d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 11,565 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (8,159 in 5+ unit buildings).
Fulton County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
14 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $10k; list at $356k implies a 3460% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 25% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
At $2,802/mo this rent would consume 54% of the median local household income ($63k/yr) (locally 3748% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 174 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-9B6P62ARG186N7
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29