4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,976 sqft ·
Built 1930
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 397 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,623/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$493
Tax + insurance
−$113
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$341
Net cashflow
$676/mo
Annual
$8,113/yr
Cap rate
14.92%
Cash-on-cash
30.82%
DSCR
2.37
1% rule
1.73%
Cash to close
$26,320
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $94k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $676 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $94k).
It's been on market 397 days — a 12% lower offer ($83k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $83k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $650 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#28 in MO, #2,671 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
Kansas City 33 (urban): math 12% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #308 of 324 in MO (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: M. L. King Elementary (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #1,072 of 1,115 statewide, top 98%, 665 students, 100% FRL); Central Middle School (math 0% / reading 9%, grade F, #388 of 391 statewide, top 99%, 428 students, 99% FRL); Southeast High School (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #512 of 521 statewide, top 99%, 487 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 75% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 6% at this address vs 18% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Kansas City 33 average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.5%/yr); 130 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 47d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 68% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 4,002 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (2,271 in 5+ unit buildings).
Jackson County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
7 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $78k (45%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $26k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 14.9% vs local median 3.9% in Kansas City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $1,623/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($42k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 397 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Exposed subfloor in kitchen
— Structural damage
Major: Missing cabinets in kitchen
— Aesthetic and functional
Major: Tub and sink in poor condition
— Hygiene and functionality
Major: Overgrown landscaping
— Aesthetic appeal
Major: Worn siding
— Structural integrity
Major: Worn carpet
— Aesthetic and comfort
CashFlowRE · CFR-9B7M9V54N0XV6K
· Data 15 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29