3 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,400 sqft ·
Built 1910
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 195 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,897/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,967
Tax + insurance
−$412
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$608
Net cashflow
$-90/mo
Annual
$-1,081/yr
Cap rate
6.00%
Cash-on-cash
-1.03%
DSCR
0.95
1% rule
0.77%
Cash to close
$105,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $375k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-90 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $359k (4.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $290k (22.7% below list).
It's been on market 195 days — a 12% lower offer ($330k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $290k (22.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $18k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $15k appreciation (4.1% local appreciation)).
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#377 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D, amenities F.
Anson ISD (rural): math 29% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #565 of 826 in TX (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Anson El (math 17% / reading 32%, grade F, #3,052 of 4,322 statewide, top 74%, 368 students, 68% FRL); Anson Middle (math 37% / reading 37%, grade F, #756 of 1,662 statewide, top 47%, 167 students, 65% FRL); Anson H S (math 47% / reading 44%, grade D-, #630 of 1,632 statewide, top 39%, 217 students, 51% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 73 active listings in the ZIP; 1 units permitted in Jones County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Jones County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
4 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$45k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 12.2% in Anson — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 195 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-9DR4D49PC8A1TA
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29