3 bd · 3.0 ba ·
1,684 sqft ·
Built 1994
· Townhouse
· Pending
· 16 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,810/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,153
Tax + insurance
−$241
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$380
Net cashflow
$35/mo
Annual
$425/yr
Cap rate
6.49%
Cash-on-cash
0.69%
DSCR
1.03
1% rule
0.82%
Cash to close
$61,586
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath townhouse listed at $220k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $35 ($425/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $181k (17.7% below list).
It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($217k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $181k (17.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#6 in OK, #2,383 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: health & safety C-, commute F.
Edmond (suburban): math 38% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #11 of 270 in OK (top 4%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Sunset Es (math 18% / reading 18%, grade F, #534 of 845 statewide, top 64%, 670 students, 0% FRL); Central Ms (math 40% / reading 42%, grade F, #5 of 345 statewide, top 1%, 980 students, 0% FRL); Santa Fe Hs (math 36% / reading 52%, grade F, #18 of 447 statewide, top 4%, 2,796 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 22% district-wide (22 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.9%/yr); 220 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 5,365 units permitted in Oklahoma County in 2024 (569 in 5+ unit buildings).
Oklahoma County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $95k; list at $220k implies a 132% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 3.4% in Edmond — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-9GCZCZ6KQP9EQ0
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29