3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,248 sqft ·
Built 2021
· Land
· Active
· 105 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,144/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$891
Tax + insurance
−$283
HOA
−$10
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$240
Net cashflow
$-280/mo
Annual
$-3,364/yr
Cap rate
4.31%
Cash-on-cash
-7.07%
DSCR
0.69
1% rule
0.67%
Cash to close
$47,572
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $170k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-280 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $129k (23.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $114k (32.7% below list).
It's been on market 105 days — a 9% lower offer ($155k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $114k (32.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $141 of equity ($1k loan paydown + $-1k appreciation (-0.6% local appreciation)).
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#1,055 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime D+, amenities F.
Onalaska ISD (rural): math 50% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #213 of 826 in TX (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Onalaska El (math 52% / reading 42%, grade D-, #1,006 of 4,322 statewide, top 25%, 712 students, 70% FRL); Onalaska Jr/Sr High (math 48% / reading 55%, grade D+, #478 of 1,632 statewide, top 29%, 527 students, 58% FRL).
Market conditions: 354 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 769 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Polk County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $12k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Cap rate 4.3% vs local median 2.9% in Onalaska — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 105 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 33% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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· Data 5 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29