2 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,452 sqft ·
Built 1979
· Condo
· Active
· 47 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,407/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$734
Tax + insurance
−$233
HOA
−$255
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$296
Net cashflow
$-110/mo
Annual
$-1,322/yr
Cap rate
5.35%
Cash-on-cash
-3.37%
DSCR
0.85
1% rule
1.01%
Cash to close
$39,172
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath condo listed at $140k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-110 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $124k (11.4% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $140k).
It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $124k (11.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#120 in MI, #2,918 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities D+, employment D-.
L'Anse Creuse Public Schools (suburban): math 31% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #184 of 540 in MI (top 34%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Tenniswood Elementary School (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #980 of 1,397 statewide, top 74%, 356 students, 73% FRL); Middle School South (math 26% / reading 46%, grade F, #269 of 493 statewide, top 56%, 389 students, 57% FRL); High School (math 24% / reading 50%, grade F, #334 of 713 statewide, top 51%, 1,246 students, 41% FRL) — zoned schools average 57% FRL vs 32% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 175 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,321 units permitted in Macomb County in 2024 (86 in 5+ unit buildings).
Macomb County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
7 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $50k; list at $140k implies a 180% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 3.0% in Mount Clemens — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
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