2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
864 sqft ·
Built 1989
· Manufactured
· Active
· 24 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$6,520/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$839
Tax + insurance
−$266
HOA
−$235
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,369
Net cashflow
$3,811/mo
Annual
$45,729/yr
Cap rate
34.89%
Cash-on-cash
102.14%
DSCR
5.54
1% rule
4.08%
Cash to close
$44,772
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $160k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $4k ($46k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($7k rent vs $160k).
It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $158k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $17k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $16k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Sevier County (rural): math 31% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #62 of 139 in TN (top 45%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Market conditions: 168 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,594 units permitted in Sevier County in 2024 (456 in 5+ unit buildings).
Sevier County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$43k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 34.9% vs local median 2.3% in Cosby — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-9JXKCS6DMY3MQ4
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29