3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
925 sqft ·
Built 1963
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 114 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,500/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$550
Tax + insurance
−$226
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$315
Net cashflow
$408/mo
Annual
$4,901/yr
Cap rate
10.96%
Cash-on-cash
16.68%
DSCR
1.74
1% rule
1.43%
Cash to close
$29,372
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $105k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $408 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $105k).
It's been on market 114 days — a 9% lower offer ($95k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $95k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $725 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Indianapolis Public Schools (urban): math 14% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #286 of 301 in IN (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Charles Warren Fairbanks Sch 105 (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #970 of 994 statewide, top 99%, 313 students, 78% FRL); H L Harshman Middle School (math 3% / reading 16%, grade F, #316 of 330 statewide, top 96%, 549 students, 84% FRL); Shortridge High School (math 20% / reading 51%, grade F, #263 of 369 statewide, top 72%, 1,089 students, 70% FRL) — zoned schools at 77% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 80 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 64d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 80% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,906 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (621 in 5+ unit buildings).
Marion County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
8 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (22%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $80k; 32% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.6% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 11.0% vs local median 4.5% in Indianapolis city (balance) — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($59k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 114 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: exterior siding
— The siding is weathered and peeling, indicating significant damage that requires replacement.
Major: roof
— The roof shows signs of wear and missing shingles, indicating it needs to be replaced.
Major: landscaping
— The landscaping is overgrown and unkempt, with bare patches of soil and debris, indicating a need for significant maintenance and improvement.
CashFlowRE · CFR-9K0Y1D7HC5Q1SA
· Data 13 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29