4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,712 sqft ·
Built 1940
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 35 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,835/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$681
Tax + insurance
−$228
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$385
Net cashflow
$541/mo
Annual
$6,490/yr
Cap rate
11.29%
Cash-on-cash
17.84%
DSCR
1.79
1% rule
1.41%
Cash to close
$36,372
Investor read
This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $130k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $541 ($6k/yr) — positive. Per door: $270/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($126k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $126k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#147 in MI, #3,704 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D-, commute F, employment D-.
Owosso Public Schools (town): math 21% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #401 of 540 in MI (top 74%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Emerson School (math 26% / reading 26%, grade F, #967 of 1,397 statewide, top 70%, 452 students, 71% FRL); Owosso Middle School (math 15% / reading 36%, grade F, #385 of 493 statewide, top 78%, 643 students, 63% FRL); Owosso High School (math 32% / reading 52%, grade F, #264 of 713 statewide, top 41%, 843 students, 61% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 169 active listings in the ZIP; 74 units permitted in Shiawassee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Shiawassee County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 11.3% vs local median 4.2% in Owosso — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-9N7XJ49SM1BG1K
· Data 17 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29