2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,306 sqft ·
Built 1909
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 48 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,306/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$679
Tax + insurance
−$173
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$274
Net cashflow
$180/mo
Annual
$2,156/yr
Cap rate
7.96%
Cash-on-cash
5.94%
DSCR
1.26
1% rule
1.01%
Cash to close
$36,260
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $180 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $130k).
It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($126k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $126k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $895 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#325 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D, amenities F.
East Palestine City (town): math 50% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #405 of 656 in OH (top 62%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: built in 1909 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 21 active listings in the ZIP; 49 units permitted in Columbiana County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Columbiana County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1909 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-9NE8CD1HG3A0RE
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29