6 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,866 sqft ·
Built 1900
· Other
· Pending
· 30 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,051/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$760
Tax + insurance
−$174
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$431
Net cashflow
$685/mo
Annual
$8,225/yr
Cap rate
11.97%
Cash-on-cash
20.26%
DSCR
1.90
1% rule
1.41%
Cash to close
$40,600
Investor read
This is a 6-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $145k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $685 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($143k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $143k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#530 in PA, #4,894 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities D+, crime D, employment D.
Chambersburg Area SD (other): math 26% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #383 of 539 in PA (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Chambersburg Area Ms - North (math 18% / reading 52%, grade F, #322 of 512 statewide, top 64%, 1,045 students, 63% FRL); Chambersburg Area Shs (math 46% / reading 10%, grade F, #362 of 437 statewide, top 83%, 2,348 students, 60% FRL) — zoned schools average 62% FRL vs 41% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.4%/yr); 162 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 633 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (112 in 5+ unit buildings).
3 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.4% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 12.0% vs local median 3.9% in Chambersburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-9P9KHQDK0Z7ANB
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29