121 W King St · Chambersburg, PA
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.56%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.1/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$145,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY! This 2 unit building features: possibility of 3 bedrooms in each unit; kitchen & full bath on each level; separated electric with circuit breakers; separated natural gas; off street parking; and more. Convenient borough location with a back yard that backs to cemetery. NOTE: This property can be purchased by itself or part of a tri-plex package. .. see MLS# PAFL2034726. It will need renovations and will not qualify for Government backed loans. Property is being sold "AS-IS".
Key facts
- Off street parking
- 2 unit building
- Separated electric
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Circuit breaker electric; Municipal trash service
- Home design: Semi-detached structure; Ownership is fee simple
- Construction: Brick construction; Stone foundation; Building not winterized; Above-grade and below-grade structures
- Exterior features: No tidal water
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level; Three bedrooms on the first upper level
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms total; One full bathroom on the main level; One full bathroom on the first upper level
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Electric hot water
- Interior features: Estimated living area; Basement with connecting stairway
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 6-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $145k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $685 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
- Recommended offer: $143k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.0% vs local median 3.9% in Chambersburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#530 in PA, #4,894 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities D+, crime D, employment D.
- Chambersburg Area SD (other): math 26% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #383 of 539 in PA (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Chambersburg Area Ms - North (math 18% / reading 52%, grade F, #322 of 512 statewide, top 64%, 1,045 students, 63% FRL); Chambersburg Area Shs (math 46% / reading 10%, grade F, #362 of 437 statewide, top 83%, 2,348 students, 60% FRL) — zoned schools average 62% FRL vs 41% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.4%/yr); 162 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 633 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (112 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.4% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($143k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.41% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.26%
- DSCR
- 1.90
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $186,931
- List price
- $145,000
- Delta
- -22.43%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 7 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.37% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 14.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.57×
- Total profit
- $23,015
- Equity at exit
- $21,620
- IRR
- 23.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.17×
- Total profit
- $88,305
- Equity at exit
- $12,537
Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17201
- Home prices YoY
- -20.3%
- Rents YoY
- 4.4%
- Active inventory
- 162
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,051 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$760
- Tax from tax record
- −$114 /mo · $1,368/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$431
- Net cashflow
- $685
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $768 | -5% $726 | +0% $685 | +5% $644 | +10% $603 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $523 | -5% $604 | +0% $685 | +5% $766 | +10% $847 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $758 | -0.5pp $722 | base $685 | +0.5pp $648 | +1.0pp $610 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,250
- Closing costs
- $4,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49 W Commerce St Chambersburg, PA | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2500 | $2,000 | $0.80 | 44d | 1 | 0.42mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-12statusdays on market $145,000 Pending 30 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $145,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $145,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $145,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $145,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $145,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $145,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $145,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $145,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-12$145,000 Active 521-char remark
Show marketing remark (521 chars)
INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY! This 2 unit building features: possibility of 3 bedrooms in each unit; kitchen & full bath on each level; separated electric with circuit breakers; separated natural gas; off street parking; and more. Convenient borough location with a back yard that backs to cemetery. NOTE: This property can be purchased by itself or part of a tri-plex package. .. see MLS# PAFL2034726. It will need renovations and will not qualify for Government backed loans. Property is being sold "AS-IS".
-
2026-05-12$145,000 Active 521-char remark
Show marketing remark (521 chars)
INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY! This 2 unit building features: possibility of 3 bedrooms in each unit; kitchen & full bath on each level; separated electric with circuit breakers; separated natural gas; off street parking; and more. Convenient borough location with a back yard that backs to cemetery. NOTE: This property can be purchased by itself or part of a tri-plex package. .. see MLS# PAFL2034726. It will need renovations and will not qualify for Government backed loans. Property is being sold "AS-IS".
-
2022-01-11soldstatus $146,000
-
2014-07-31soldstatus $60,000
-
2000-10-31soldstatus $76,000
-
2000-08-23historical
-
2000-08-15$75,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,368 · $114/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,830 · $152/mo
- Expected delta
- +$462/yr (+$38/mo · 33.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 56% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,611
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,122
- − Property taxes
- −$1,368
- − Insurance
- −$725
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,969
- − Management
- −$1,969
- − Depreciation
- −$4,218
- Taxable income
- $6,240
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,498
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,728/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Chambersburg Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4205550
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -16.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,666
- Composite
- 32.17/100
- National rank
- #5787
- State rank
- #383 of 539 in PA
Livability — Chambersburg
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #530
- US rank
- #4894
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Chambersburg, PA
- County
- Franklin County · 56,916 people
- City population
- 27,554
- Metro
- Chambersburg-Waynesboro, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,554
- Household income
- $61,234
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1306.0
Population outlook (Franklin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 157,827 people
- By 2030
- 158,933 · +0.7%
- By 2040
- 159,060 · +0.8%
- By 2050
- 155,132 · -1.7%
- By 2075
- 138,545 · -12.2%
- By 2100
- 112,321 · -28.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Hispanic / Latino 18% Black 8% Two or more races 7% Native American 1% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 3% Slovak 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 13% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Franklin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.0) · D 28.1% · R 71.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.4pp toward R · 2008: -32.6pp · 2024: -43.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.0 2020: R+43.1 2016: R+46.5 2012: R+38.5 2008: R+32.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -63.07%
- Current HPI
- 247.913
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.37%
- Metro
- Chambersburg-Waynesboro, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+93.3% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-06-11 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-12 Listed $145,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-12 Listed $145,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-01-11 Sold (Public Records) $146,000 Public Records
- 2014-07-31 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
- 2000-10-31 Sold (MLS) $76,000 MRIS
- 2000-08-23 Delisted — MRIS
- 2000-08-15 Listed $75,000 MRIS
Property tax history
+15.1%/yrLatest (2026): $1,368 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…