7 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,779 sqft ·
Built 1900
· Townhouse
· Active
· 33 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,182/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,232
Tax + insurance
−$797
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$458
Net cashflow
$-305/mo
Annual
$-3,658/yr
Cap rate
4.74%
Cash-on-cash
-5.56%
DSCR
0.75
1% rule
0.93%
Cash to close
$65,772
Investor read
This is a 7-bed/1.5-bath townhouse listed at $235k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-305 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $181k (22.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $218k (7.1% below list).
It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($228k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $181k (22.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.6% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.3%/yr); 105 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
6 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Cap rate 4.7% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
At $2,182/mo this rent would consume 59% of the median local household income ($44k/yr) (locally 431% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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