3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,035 sqft ·
Built 1917
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 157 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,632/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$519
Tax + insurance
−$202
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$343
Net cashflow
$568/mo
Annual
$6,816/yr
Cap rate
13.18%
Cash-on-cash
24.59%
DSCR
2.09
1% rule
1.65%
Cash to close
$27,720
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $99k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $568 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $99k).
It's been on market 157 days — a 12% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $87k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($684 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#43 in VA, #1,026 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
Norfolk City Public School District (urban): math 27% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #118 of 131 in VA (top 90%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Ghent K-8 (math 47% / reading 75%, grade B, #524 of 1,108 statewide, top 48%, 482 students, 97% FRL); Blair Middle (math 29% / reading 57%, grade D-, #288 of 342 statewide, top 85%, 1,149 students, 92% FRL); Granby High (math 33% / reading 80%, grade C, #270 of 319 statewide, top 86%, 1,837 students, 94% FRL) — zoned schools average 94% FRL vs 59% district-wide (36 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 54% at this address vs 42% district-wide (+12 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Norfolk City Public School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Watch-outs: built in 1917 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 33 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 47d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 70% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 438 units permitted in Norfolk city in 2024 (273 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $58k (37%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 13.2% vs local median 4.0% in Norfolk — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 157 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1917 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof
— The roof appears to be in poor condition, with visible wear and tear.
Major: exterior siding
— The exterior siding is peeling and in need of repair.
Major: flooring
— The flooring appears to be in poor condition, with visible wear and tear.
Major: interior walls
— The interior walls appear to be in poor condition, with visible wear and tear.
Major: HVAC/mechanicals
— The HVAC system appears to be in poor condition, with visible wear and tear.
CashFlowRE · CFR-9QDBD03AME549A
· Data 18 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29