3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,650 sqft ·
Built 2022
· Townhouse
· Active
· 112 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,865/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,704
Tax + insurance
−$251
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$602
Net cashflow
$308/mo
Annual
$3,699/yr
Cap rate
7.43%
Cash-on-cash
4.06%
DSCR
1.18
1% rule
0.88%
Cash to close
$91,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $325k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $308 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $287k (11.8% below list).
It's been on market 112 days — a 9% lower offer ($296k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $287k (11.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#356 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D, amenities F.
Moore County Schools (rural): math 48% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #58 of 178 in NC (top 33%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: West Pine Elementary (math 51% / reading 58%, grade C, #302 of 1,410 statewide, top 23%, 395 students, 44% FRL); West Pine Middle (math 62% / reading 62%, grade B+, #37 of 475 statewide, top 8%, 688 students, 28% FRL); Pinecrest High (math 66% / reading 72%, grade B, #131 of 535 statewide, top 25%, 2,221 students, 34% FRL).
Market conditions: 180 active listings in the ZIP; 941 units permitted in Moore County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Moore County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 53% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 112 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-9RN0B259WN3DA4
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29