2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
822 sqft ·
Built 1950
· SingleFamily
· Under Contract
· 64 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,389/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,153
Tax + insurance
−$261
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$292
Net cashflow
$-317/mo
Annual
$-3,802/yr
Cap rate
4.56%
Cash-on-cash
-6.17%
DSCR
0.73
1% rule
0.63%
Cash to close
$61,572
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $220k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-317 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $164k (25.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $139k (36.8% below list).
It's been on market 64 days — a 6% lower offer ($207k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $139k (36.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $24k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $22k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#172 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, commute F.
Portsmouth City Public School District (urban): math 34% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #107 of 131 in VA (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+4.0%/yr); 65 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 300 units permitted in Portsmouth city in 2024 (112 in 5+ unit buildings).
6 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($49k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 64 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 37% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29