6130 Monterey Hwy, #052 Plan

San Jose, CA 95138

$485,995D-

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,560 sqft · Built — · Manufactured · Active · 20 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $4,238/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$2,549
• Tax + insurance: −$810
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$890
• Net cashflow: $-11/mo
• Annual: $-130/yr
• Cap rate: 6.27%
• Cash-on-cash: -0.10%
• DSCR: 1.00
• 1% rule: 0.87%
• Cash to close: $136,079

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $486k. Condition is rated excellent.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-11 ($-130/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $484k (0.3% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $424k (12.8% below list).
• It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($479k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $424k (12.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $15k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 78/100 on livability (#68 in CA, #2,559 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
• Oak Grove Elementary (urban): math 47% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #339 of 1,400 in CA (top 24%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Zoned schools: Ledesma (Rita) Elementary (463 students, 30% FRL); Bernal Intermediate (636 students, 29% FRL); Evergreen Valley High (math 76% / reading 83%, grade A-, #45 of 1,170 statewide, top 4%, 2,767 students, 13% FRL).
• Zoned-school proficiency averages 80% at this address vs 50% district-wide (+29 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Oak Grove Elementary average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
• Market conditions: 29 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 3,838 units permitted in Santa Clara County in 2024 (1,886 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Santa Clara County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 1.6% in San Jose — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
• The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.