2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
768 sqft ·
Built 1927
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 83 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$837/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$101
Tax + insurance
−$32
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$176
Net cashflow
$529/mo
Annual
$6,345/yr
Cap rate
39.34%
Cash-on-cash
118.02%
DSCR
6.25
1% rule
4.36%
Cash to close
$5,376
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $19k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $529 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($837 rent vs $19k).
It's been on market 83 days — a 6% lower offer ($18k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $18k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($133 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (7.9% local appreciation)).
Location reads 57/100 on livability (#334 in TN) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities F.
Henry County (rural): math 30% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #60 of 139 in TN (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Henry Elementary (math 32% / reading 22%, grade F, #496 of 952 statewide, top 55%, 335 students, 0% FRL); Lakewood Middle School (math 34% / reading 25%, grade F, #107 of 333 statewide, top 33%, 249 students, 0% FRL); Henry Co High School (reading 38%, 1,048 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 55% district-wide (55 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1927 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 19 units permitted in Henry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Henry County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
At projected returns (7.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $5k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 83 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1927 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof
— Damaged shingles
Major: exterior siding
— Peeling paint and siding damage
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· Data 9 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29