3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,280 sqft ·
Built 2020
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 9 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,042/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$262
Tax + insurance
−$83
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$219
Net cashflow
$478/mo
Annual
$5,731/yr
Cap rate
17.76%
Cash-on-cash
40.94%
DSCR
2.82
1% rule
2.08%
Cash to close
$14,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $50k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $478 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
In year one you build about $517 of equity ($346 loan paydown + $171 appreciation (0.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#113 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
West Jasper Consolidated Schools (rural): math 38% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #53 of 130 in MS (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 15 active listings in the ZIP; 3 units permitted in Jasper County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Jasper County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (0.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof
— The satellite image shows visible damage and missing shingles.
Major: exterior siding
— The satellite image shows peeling paint and visible wear.
Major: flooring
— The satellite image shows visible wear and tear.
Major: interior walls
— The satellite image shows visible wear and tear.
Major: HVAC/mechanicals
— The satellite image shows visible wear and tear.
Major: landscaping
— The satellite image shows overgrown grass and weeds.
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· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29