94 County Road 1214 · Bay Springs, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.2/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
$50,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Tucked away at the end of a dead-end road, this 2020 Cappaert 16x80 manufactured home offers privacy, space, and plenty of potential on 5.50 acres surrounded by wooded land. The home features a screened-in front porch, giving you a peaceful spot to enjoy the quiet country setting. Outside, you'll find a detached storage building with an attached double carport, providing great space for parking, tools, equipment, or extra storage. This property is being sold as-is and needs mostly cosmetic repairs, making it a great opportunity for someone looking to add their own touch. With acreage, privacy, and room to spread out, this one is priced with potential in mind.
Key facts
- 5.50 acres
- Wooded land
- Built 2020
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Approximately 5.5 acres
Exterior
- Parking: Detached carport; Covered parking; Driveway
- Utilities: Septic tank
- Home design: Manufactured home; Single-story; Raised foundation
- Construction: Composition roof
- Exterior features: Storage; Covered, screened front porch
Interior
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Kitchen island; Ceiling fan(s)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $50k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $478 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#113 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
- West Jasper Consolidated Schools (rural): math 38% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #53 of 130 in MS (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 15 active listings in the ZIP; 3 units permitted in Jasper County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $517 of equity ($346 loan paydown + $171 appreciation (0.3% local appreciation)).
- Jasper County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (0.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.76%
- Cash-on-cash
- 40.94%
- DSCR
- 2.82
- GRM
- 4.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.34% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 42.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.13×
- Total profit
- $29,781
- Equity at exit
- $15,378
- IRR
- 45.1%
- Equity multiple
- 6.19×
- Total profit
- $72,652
- Equity at exit
- $19,186
Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39422
- Home prices YoY
- 0.3%
- Active inventory
- 15
- Price-to-rent
- 4.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,042 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$62 /mo · $750/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$219
- Net cashflow
- $478
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,500
- Closing costs
- $1,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-13status $50,000 Pending 9 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $50,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $50,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $50,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $50,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $50,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-04remarks 667-char remark
-
2026-06-04$50,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,504
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,801
- − Property taxes
- −$750
- − Insurance
- −$250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,000
- − Management
- −$1,000
- − Depreciation
- −$1,455
- Taxable income
- $5,248
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,259
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,472/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This manufactured home requires extensive repairs and maintenance to improve its condition and increase its value. The roof, exterior siding, flooring, interior walls, HVAC/mechanicals, and landscaping all need attention.
Repairs flagged
- Major roof — The satellite image shows visible damage and missing shingles.
- Major exterior siding — The satellite image shows peeling paint and visible wear.
- Major flooring — The satellite image shows visible wear and tear.
- Major interior walls — The satellite image shows visible wear and tear.
- Major HVAC/mechanicals — The satellite image shows visible wear and tear.
- Major landscaping — The satellite image shows overgrown grass and weeds.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale repair roof — A repaired roof will significantly increase the home's value by addressing a major issue.
- Resale repair exterior siding — A repaired exterior siding will improve the home's curb appeal and increase its value.
- Resale repair flooring — A repaired flooring will improve the home's condition and increase its value.
- Resale repair interior walls — A repaired interior walls will improve the home's condition and increase its value.
- Resale repair HVAC/mechanicals — A repaired HVAC/mechanicals will improve the home's condition and increase its value.
- Resale landscape and maintain — A well-maintained landscape will improve the home's curb appeal and increase its value.
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| roof · The satellite image shows visible damage and missing shingles. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| exterior siding · The satellite image shows peeling paint and visible wear. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| flooring · The satellite image shows visible wear and tear. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| interior walls · The satellite image shows visible wear and tear. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| HVAC/mechanicals · The satellite image shows visible wear and tear. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| landscaping · The satellite image shows overgrown grass and weeds. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 6 items | $90,000–300,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale repair roof — A repaired roof will significantly increase the home's value by addressing a major issue. ↑
- Resale repair exterior siding — A repaired exterior siding will improve the home's curb appeal and increase its value. ↑
- Resale repair flooring — A repaired flooring will improve the home's condition and increase its value. ↑
- Resale repair interior walls — A repaired interior walls will improve the home's condition and increase its value. ↑
- Resale repair HVAC/mechanicals — A repaired HVAC/mechanicals will improve the home's condition and increase its value. ↑
- Resale landscape and maintain — A well-maintained landscape will improve the home's curb appeal and increase its value. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- West Jasper Consolidated Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2804590
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,785
- Composite
- 29.65/100
- National rank
- #6467
- State rank
- #53 of 130 in MS
Livability — Bay Springs
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #113
- US rank
- #12871
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 4,534
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,534
Population outlook (Jasper County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 15,383 people
- By 2030
- 14,629 · -4.9%
- By 2040
- 13,119 · -14.7%
- By 2050
- 11,742 · -23.7%
- By 2075
- 9,102 · -40.8%
- By 2100
- 7,062 · -54.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 50% White 48% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jasper
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.0) · D 47.2% · R 52.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.7pp toward R · 2008: 9.7pp · 2024: -5.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.0 2020: D+0.5 2016: D+4.0 2012: D+9.7 2008: D+9.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.34%
- Current HPI
- 96.8601
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Listed $50,000 HAAR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…