4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,348 sqft ·
Built 2026
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 88 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,495/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,416
Tax + insurance
−$412
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$314
Net cashflow
$-647/mo
Annual
$-7,759/yr
Cap rate
3.42%
Cash-on-cash
-10.26%
DSCR
0.54
1% rule
0.55%
Cash to close
$75,600
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $270k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-647 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $156k (42.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $150k (44.6% below list).
It's been on market 88 days — a 6% lower offer ($254k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $150k (44.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $3k appreciation (1.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#651 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
Malakoff ISD (town): math 48% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #187 of 826 in TX (top 23%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 162 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 263 units permitted in Henderson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 60% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 3.4% vs local median 2.8% in Tool — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 88 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 45% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-9V9RMAB395AFZP
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29