3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,878 sqft ·
Built 2025
· SingleFamily
· Pending
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,422/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,721
Tax + insurance
−$614
HOA
−$58
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$509
Net cashflow
$-480/mo
Annual
$-5,757/yr
Cap rate
4.78%
Cash-on-cash
-5.40%
DSCR
0.76
1% rule
0.74%
Cash to close
$91,914
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $328k. Condition is rated excellent.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-480 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $259k (21.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $242k (26.2% below list).
Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $242k (26.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $30k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $28k appreciation (8.4% local appreciation)).
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#159 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
Aiken 01 (suburban): math 31% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #36 of 80 in SC (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Jefferson Elementary (math 34% / reading 34%, grade F, #359 of 597 statewide, top 60%, 557 students, 100% FRL); Midland Valley High (math 31% / reading 83%, grade C, #120 of 196 statewide, top 64%, 1,477 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools average 81% FRL vs 54% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: 299 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 2,500 units permitted in Aiken County in 2024 (1,023 in 5+ unit buildings).
Aiken County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$48k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 72% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($84k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-9WJMM38G6GR4EE
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29