2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,116 sqft ·
Built 1960
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 11 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$988/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$236
Tax + insurance
−$51
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$207
Net cashflow
$493/mo
Annual
$5,922/yr
Cap rate
19.45%
Cash-on-cash
47.00%
DSCR
3.09
1% rule
2.20%
Cash to close
$12,600
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $45k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $493 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($988 rent vs $45k).
Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($311 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (2.9% local appreciation)).
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#158 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Simpson County School District (rural): math 18% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #90 of 130 in MS (top 69%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Magee Elementary School (math 16% / reading 22%, grade F, #251 of 375 statewide, top 67%, 504 students, 99% FRL); Magee Middle School (math 14% / reading 21%, grade F, #123 of 179 statewide, top 69%, 325 students, 99% FRL); Magee High School (math 8% / reading 8%, grade F, #184 of 197 statewide, top 94%, 405 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 76% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 75 active listings in the ZIP; 3 units permitted in Simpson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Simpson County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
5 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (2.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 19.5% vs local median 3.6% in Magee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-9WXVFT0Y9QWWQM
· Data 16 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29