610 NW 9th Ave · Magee, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.5/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
$45,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
The property is a great opportunity for an investor. It is being sold ''as is where is. '' Would be a great rental or a family home. There is a fence around most of the property. Price negotiable!
Key facts
- Spacious lot
- Shopping
- Local amenities
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: On-site parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Water service connected
- Home design: Single-family house; One story; Fixer condition
- Construction: Metal roof; Conventional foundation; Built in (year built from public records)
- Exterior features: Front porch; Fenced lot
Interior
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: No central cooling
- Interior features: Accessible approach with ramp; Accessibility features present
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $45k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $493 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($988 rent vs $45k).
- Cap rate 19.5% vs local median 3.6% in Magee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#158 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Simpson County School District (rural): math 18% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #90 of 130 in MS (top 69%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Magee Elementary School (math 16% / reading 22%, grade F, #251 of 375 statewide, top 67%, 504 students, 99% FRL); Magee Middle School (math 14% / reading 21%, grade F, #123 of 179 statewide, top 69%, 325 students, 99% FRL); Magee High School (math 8% / reading 8%, grade F, #184 of 197 statewide, top 94%, 405 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 76% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 75 active listings in the ZIP; 3 units permitted in Simpson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($311 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (2.9% local appreciation)).
- Simpson County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (2.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.45%
- Cash-on-cash
- 47.00%
- DSCR
- 3.09
- GRM
- 3.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $146,196
- Comps found
- 9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 609 NW Cherry St | 0.16mi | 2/2.0 | 1,040 (-7%) | 10mo | $135,900 | $131 | 73 |
| 569 Simpson Highway 149 | 0.22mi | 2/1.0 | 1,000 (-10%) | 9mo | $84,000 | $84 | 61 |
| 626 NW St. Louis Ave | 0.19mi | 2/1.0 | 1,000 (-10%) | 11mo | $110,000 | $110 | 60 |
| 502 NW Kennedy Dr | 0.42mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,221 (+9%) | 2mo | $169,000 | $138 | 56 |
| 211 NE 3rd St | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,106 (-1%) | 4mo | $129,900 | $117 | 56 |
| 512 SW 2nd St | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,093 (-2%) | 6mo | $179,900 | $165 | 53 |
| 1305 Frances Ave | 0.62mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,265 (+13%) | 1mo | $149,900 | $118 | 41 |
| 1304 NE 1st Ave | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,261 (+13%) | 2mo | $184,900 | $147 | 41 |
| 302 SW 4th Ave | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 | 995 (-11%) | 14mo | $129,900 | $131 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.9% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 52.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.91×
- Total profit
- $36,615
- Equity at exit
- $19,983
- IRR
- 51.8%
- Equity multiple
- 7.87×
- Total profit
- $86,600
- Equity at exit
- $30,603
Cash invested: $12,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39111
- Home prices YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 75
- Price-to-rent
- 3.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $988 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$236
- Tax from tax record
- −$32 /mo · $388/yr
- Insurance
- −$19
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$207
- Net cashflow
- $493
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $519 | -5% $506 | +0% $493 | +5% $481 | +10% $468 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $415 | -5% $454 | +0% $493 | +5% $533 | +10% $572 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $516 | -0.5pp $505 | base $493 | +0.5pp $482 | +1.0pp $470 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $11,250
- Closing costs
- $1,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $45,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $45,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $45,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $45,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $45,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $45,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $45,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-09remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-09$45,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $388 · $32/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $388 · $32/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,856
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,521
- − Property taxes
- −$388
- − Insurance
- −$225
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$948
- − Management
- −$948
- − Depreciation
- −$1,309
- Taxable income
- $5,517
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,324
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,598/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Simpson County School District
- NCES district ID
- 2803990
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,826
- Composite
- 17.46/100
- National rank
- #9063
- State rank
- #90 of 130 in MS
Livability — Magee
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #158
- US rank
- #15438
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Magee, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,927
Population outlook (Simpson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 26,197 people
- By 2030
- 25,474 · -2.8%
- By 2040
- 23,811 · -9.1%
- By 2050
- 22,024 · -15.9%
- By 2075
- 17,701 · -32.4%
- By 2100
- 13,732 · -47.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (67%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 67% Black 28% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 5% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Simpson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+36.7) · D 31.4% · R 68.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.3pp toward R · 2008: -22.4pp · 2024: -36.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+36.7 2020: R+30.4 2016: R+30.9 2012: R+22.1 2008: R+22.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- Current HPI
- 161.8264
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-35.7% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Listed $45,000 MLSU
- 2025-09-30 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2025-02-24 Listed $65,000 MLSU
- 2023-02-23 Sold (MLS) — HAAR
- 2021-10-01 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2020-05-21 Listed $14,000 HAAR
- 2008-04-17 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2008-02-13 Listed $65,000 MLSU
- 2006-11-18 Listed $70,000 MLSU
Property tax history
+4.0%/yrLatest (2025): $388 · +22.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…