2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
840 sqft ·
Built 2018
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 26 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,190/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$199
Tax + insurance
−$105
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$250
Net cashflow
$636/mo
Annual
$7,627/yr
Cap rate
26.36%
Cash-on-cash
71.68%
DSCR
4.19
1% rule
3.13%
Cash to close
$10,640
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $38k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $636 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $38k).
It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($37k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $37k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $263 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#741 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
Shippensburg Area SD (town): math 31% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #335 of 539 in PA (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price.
Market conditions: 161 active listings in the ZIP; 633 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (112 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 26.4% vs local median 3.5% in Shippensburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-9XMY9N71R9B40E
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29